What's everyone talking about? It is possible that when the next Los Angeles earthquake strikes, 270,000 people could be displaced. Port Hueneme Search-and-rescue workers from Los Angeles have returned from Turkey after spending weeks assisting in the aftermath of the region's massive earthquake, which killed tens of thousands of people and displaced hundreds of thousands more. Dr. Lucy Jones is answering questions about earthquakes from ABC7 viewers. Disruptions in water, electricity and communications could last weeks. The chances of experiencing shaking from an earthquake and/or having property damage is dependent on many different factors. How are they used? Why Is Every Walmart In The Entire City Of Portland Being Permanently Shut Down? If you had a large San Andreas Fault earthquake, could you also have a quick follow-up on the San Jacinto fault, or a quick follow up on the Garlock fault? he said. Location, time of day, building codes and other factors make a big difference. Overall, the US Geological Survey says there are 31 and 20 per cent probabilities of an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5, nearly Big One status, occurring in Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area, respectively. In the 1994 Northridge earthquake, about 200 soft-story buildings collapsed, including one apartment building in which 16 people died. Earthquake Prediction Issues and Concerns Social utility of earthquake prediction Possible negative consequences Generic questions for public policy Changes in the Time Parameters of Predictions PAGE vi i i ix II. Distant sizable aftershocks have occurred in California before. Epicenter at 34.301, -117.032 2.2 km from Two kinds of scientific models inform decisions of how to safeguard against earthquake losses: (1) an earthquake rupture forecast tells us where and when the Earth might slip along the state's many faults, and (2) a ground motion prediction model estimates the ensuing shaking from a fault rupture. Epicenter at 34.026, -117.018 The National Weather Service issues an earthquake warning for Los Angeles, California. (6.2 miles), 2023-02-23 04:33:37 UTC The services DOC provides are designed to balance today's needs with tomorrow's obligations by fostering the wise use and conservation of energy, land and mineral resources. California. The club have been participating in the MLS since 1996 and San Jose Earthquakes are considered their bitterest rivals. The East Anatolian also accumulates energy at a slower rate than the California and North Anatolian faults. Most commonly youll see aftershocks on the fault that ruptured in the main earthquake or immediately adjacent to it, said William Barnhart, a researcher with the geological survey who is analyzing the Turkish quakes using radar data. Electricity in Southern California could be out for days. A similar seismic scenario could occur in California. The quake. Best answer ever. There is no question that were going to learn an enormous amount from the Turkish quakes, said Ross Stein, a seismologist formerly with the United States Geological Survey scientist and now a consultant. Preparation in areas near a fault are especially crucial. Whats next is a really tough problem for us, seismic expert Dr Kenneth Hudnut told The New York Times, following the release of the study. More than 4.5 million living in San Bernardino-Ontario and 10 million people in Los Angeles County are living near active or passive faults. (0.2 miles), 2023-02-23 13:18:05 UTC Ojai Such a quake would be so powerful that it causes widespread damage and consequently affects lives and livelihoods of all southern Californians, a report says. 3.2 km from "One guy sent a fax predicting a big quake in LA in the next week to a different company each week. Whatever the main shock magnitude is, you should expect the largest aftershock to be about one magnitude unit smaller, she said. When most of us on the West Coast think about Los Angeles earthquakes, we think of the Southern San Andreas fault. Heres what could happen in Southern California if a large earthquake struck on the San Andreas fault. LOS ANGELES CA US 90071-3173: Primary Place of Performance Congressional District: 34: . Typically, a Seismic hazard is the hazard associated with potential earthquakes in a particular area, and a seismic hazard map shows the relative hazards in different areas. The magnitude of an earthquake isnt enough to determine how much death and destruction it will cause. Epicenter at 34.216, -117.417 In the metropolitan Los Angeles area, every type of fault is present. L.A. hits $1-billion earthquake milestone: 8,000 buildings retrofitted, These are some of the major earthquake risks facing California, L.A.s many dangerous faults pose challenge for earthquake early warning system, Why some huge earthquakes cause great destruction while others do little damage, Desperate mountain residents trapped by snow beg for help; We are coming, sheriff says, Hidden, illegal casinos are booming in L.A., with organized crime reaping big profits. Older homes built before 1980 on a raised foundation are especially vulnerable if they are not retrofitted. The 4.2 magnitude earthquake was "too small to trigger the delivery of #ShakeAlert-powered alerts to cell phones," USGS ShakeAlert wrote on Twitter. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? San Francisco, Sacramento and the Sierra Nevada are on the . 1.4 earthquake - 2km WSW of Anderson Springs, CA, on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 23:23 GMT. Known faults in California (and scientists continue to discover new ones) Select your county from the dropdown menu above, or click on your county on the California map to the left to learn . As a subscriber, you have 10 gift articles to give each month. The company that got it just before Northridge hit was impressed," she recalled, referring to the magnitude 6.7 earthquake that struck the San Fernando Valley in 1994. These occur because the movement in the first quake can increase stresses along nearby fault sections beyond their breaking point. The San Andreas Fault poses a threat in the northern and southern portions of California. The San Andreas Fault system consists of many parallel, active fault strands with changeable rates of motion. Our insurance rates, based on the latest science and research, are determined by several factors including your homes age, location near a fault, foundation type, construction type, and roof type. How likely is Big One earthquake to hit after recent LA tremors? 4.2 km from In the past 24 hours, California, USA had 61 quakes up to magnitude 3.6. Casa Conejo (6.2 miles), 2023-02-18 10:33:48 UTC Earthquake damage would include destroyed freeways because Interstate 10 crosses the San Andreas in a dozen places; fires from broken gas lines; damage to the water supply; and disruption to interstate high-voltage power lines through the Cajon Pass. But I wouldnt have put any money on that being the next to go.. ShakeAlert is not earthquake prediction, rather a ShakeAlert Message indicates that an earthquake has begun and shaking is imminent. How do I decide whether or not to get earthquake insurance? One scenario includes a magnitude 6.4 earthquake in Cupertino, in the heart of Silicon Valley, more than five months after the mainshock, a USGS report said. at 08:14 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Contributed by the Griffin Family, courtesy of U.S. Geological Survey. Learn about earthquake survival tips to keep your family prepared before the next big one hits. at 18:25 February 25, 2023 UTC, Location: 9.2 km from Judith Hubbard, a visiting professor at Cornell University, said that such a quake might be large. This includes blind thrust faults, like the quake along the Raymond fault that destroyed homes in Northridge in 1994. The Ridgecrest earthquakes that hit onJuly 4andJuly 5, 2019with a magnitude 6.4 and 7.1, respectively, were the most recent major earthquakes in Southern California. 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Earthquake forecasts are based on research from (2005 to 2023) earthquakechannel@yahoo.com Science & Technology California Prediction quakeprediction.com Joined May 2009 5 Following 54.9K Followers Tweets Tweets & replies Media Likes How are engineers working to make roads and buildings safer? at 17:10 March 03, 2023 UTC, Location: CTRL + SPACE for auto-complete. at 18:09 February 10, 2023 UTC, Location: at 13:18 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: Epicenter at 33.823, -117.486 The aftershock, which released less than 1 percent of the energy of the 7.8 quake, was within the range of aftershocks that would be expected, said Debi Kilb, a researcher at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography who studies aftershocks. at 04:33 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: It is also far shorter than another similar Turkish fault, the North Anatolian, which passes near Istanbul. 316 earthquakes in the past 365 days. Smoke billows Tuesday from the Iskenderun Port in Turkey as rescue workers sift through the scene of a collapsed building after a magnitude 7.8 earthquake hit early Monday. 9.2 km from Epicenter at 33.948, -117.818 Building standards in California are significantly stronger. Hundreds more could die from fire following a quake along the 52-mile fault. The milestone comes seven years after the City Council passed the nations most sweeping earthquake safety legislation, requiring that more than 14,000 buildings be retrofitted. A landmark report by the U.S. Geological Survey in 2018 estimates that at least 800 people could be killed and 18,000 more injured in a magnitude 7 earthquake on the Hayward fault centered below Oakland. Southern California could be isolated for some time, with the region surrounded by mountains and earthquake faults. In addition, we have created some other Foreign Hazard Maps for Afghanistan, Haiti, South America, Southeast Asia and the State of Gujarat, India. Some 500,000 to 1 million people could be displaced from their homes. (2.2 miles). Glendora Copyright 2023 KABC Television, LLC. The event is a good reminder to be prepared for an earthquake. The risks that earthquakes pose to society, including death, injury, and economic loss, can be greatly reduced by (1) better planning, construction, and mitigation practices before earthquakes happen, and (2) providing critical and timely information to improv, This handbook provides information about the threat posed by earthquakes in the San Francisco Bay region and explains how you can prepare for, survive, and recover from these inevitable events. Ground shaking is the primary cause of earthquake damage to man-made structures. Epicenter at 34.26, -117.012 This prediction most likely came from: a geologist A scientist announces that the best possible chance for finding life on other bodies within our solar system would be on Jupiter's moon Europa. Yet, the last one struck in 1918. 7 earthquakes in the past 7 days. If your home was built before 1980 it may be vulnerable toserious structural damage. Can the National Seismic Hazard Maps be used as an earthquake forecast tool for the near future? Earthquakes strike without warning, at any time of year, day or night. Theres just not great way to know when exactly The Big One may come, according to seismologist Dr Lucy Jones. The magnitude-3.3 earthquake . Dr. Stein said there was another possibility as well, of a fault like the Garlock or San Jacinto experiencing a large quake of its own. Some scientists argued even the 1 per cent forecast was making too big a claim. Fillmore Epicenter at 34.243, -117.838 san francisco earthquake prediction. Ever since, the North American plate has ground against the Pacific plate at a boundary called a strike-slip fault. Wednesday weather updates:Winter storm forecast to reach East Coast after crossing the country. Top Russian scientist who created Sputnik V Covid vaccine is strangled to death with a belt in his Moscow apartment in row with intruder, STATISTICAL FACT: Youre far more likely to die from covid vaccines than from covid itself. Los Angeles County could suffer the highest death toll, more than 1,000, followed by Orange County, with more than 350 dead. The last Big One occurred in 1906, a 7.9 quake that moved 300 miles of fault, razed large parts of San Francisco, and killed more than 3,000 people in the deadliest earthquake in US history. Epicenter at 34.134, -117.471 Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Los Angeles experiences an average of five earthquakes a year with magnitudes between 3 and 4, putting recent quakes within the normal range of size and frequency. Anyone can read what you share. But the Hayward fault in the East Bay also poses a major threat, experts say. My refrigerator moved two feet. But the 7.5 aftershock that occurred soon after the first quake was unusual, Dr. Kilb said. An analysis of recent changes along earthquake faults in Southern California suggests there is an increased possibility of a major quake on the San Andreas Fault, researchers said Monday.. This portion of the San Andreas fault has been identified as the most likely source of a very large earthquake in California. But quiet period wont last, An earthquake the size of Turkeys would bring devastation, death to Southern California, Why some huge earthquakes cause great destruction while others do little damage, Desperate mountain residents trapped by snow beg for help; We are coming, sheriff says, Hidden, illegal casinos are booming in L.A., with organized crime reaping big profits. Learn about the potentialgeologic threatsto your home in case of a major earthquake by learning your Los Angeles earthquake risk. Little has been done to get those buildings retrofitted, despite the fact that the San Andreas fault runs through the region. The time between big quakes seems to be Poissonian - that means the time since the last quake doesnt matter., Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. The USGS uses these four terms to refer to four different things. at 03:09 February 18, 2023 UTC, Location: When a reporter asked if the quake had been predicted, Tom calmly replied 'Not yet.' 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake. ", The Twitter account, which has about 45,700 followers, is connected to the website quakeprediction.com, which claims: "We have been researching earthquake prediction since 2005," adding, "We are not associated with the USGS earthquake prediction site. This means that there is about a 94% chance that any earthquake will NOT be a foreshock. Quakes have contributed to the downfalls of ancient civilizations in China and the Middle East. Dr. Barnhart said researchers would be looking at whether a quake on the main fault could result in a large aftershock similar to what happened in Turkey. So out to something like 1,000 kilometers [620 miles], we have an increased chance of having earthquakes, Jones said. That quake occurred on the East Anatolian Fault, which is similar in origin and structure to the San Andreas but is only about half as long. Epicenter at 34.064, -118.932 (3.2 miles), 2023-02-12 23:35:25 UTC The last two big earthquakes to strike Los Angeles the 1971 Sylmar quake and 1994 Northridge quake caused destruction and loss of life. By a 2:45 a.m. update, the LAFD confirmed that it had completed "earthquake mode" and its 470 square-mile survey of the City of Los Angeles following the quake. The Big One is a massive earthquake prediction by seismologists set to occur along the southern San Andreas Fault, in California, which would impact cities such as San Francisco, Los Angeles and . What did Disney actually lose from its Florida battle with DeSantis? at 03:01 February 24, 2023 UTC, Location: Are you ready for the big one? In Southern California, a magnitude 7.8 quake struck in 1857. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS What is the probability that an earthquake is a foreshock to a larger earthquake? 7.2 km from Loma Linda Nevertheless, in the 16 years since that publication there has not been a substantial quake in the Los Angeles area, and two major reports issued by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) have made variable predictions as to the risk of future seismic events. Source: FEMA News. A catastrophe is a disaster that runs amok when a society is not prepared for the amount of disruption that occurs, the report said. California has been working to improve seismic safety rules for vulnerable buildings. Tran was taken into federal custody after being arrested by police February 17 in Riverside County, about an hour's drive east of Los Angeles, where he previously resided, authorities said. Large aftershocks can occur for months, years and even decades in a broad region, with a mega-quake potentially ushering in a generation of heightened seismic activity. (16.2 miles), 2023-02-11 05:28:33 UTC 9.2 km from Is it safe to go to X since they've been having a lot of earthquakes lately? The magnitude-6.8 earthquake happened on the Hayward Fault, and was one of the. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/27/climate/turkey-syria-earthquakes-california.html. NBC Universal, Inc. A morning earthquake shakes the Southern California coast. Last year, researchers concluded that a pair of major southern California quakes in 2019, registering 6.4 and 7.1 magnitudes, slightly raised the chances the Big One could strike, though the probability remains low, with about a 1 per cent chance of a major quake along the San Andreas over the next year. Muscoy Turkeys Earthquake Zone Is a Lot Like Californias. (3.2 miles), 2023-02-18 10:54:21 UTC Government disaster assistance, if available, may only come in the form of a small grant or capped loan, which may cover only a portion of your repair costs and may need to be repaid. Here's what will happen if the big one hits the West Coast. Now one quake prediction research firm warned that the next big one could be imminent. But its what everybody wants to know, adding, But just because we can create a plausible scenario does not mean its going to happen.. 38 earthquakes in the past 30 days. 6.2 km from The Lab serves as a focal point for earthquake information in Southern California and the world. "The San Andreas fault is one of. 1.2 km from What is the difference between earthquake early warning, earthquake forecasts, earthquake probabilities, and earthquake prediction? What is a seismic hazard map? (2.2 miles), 2023-02-25 18:25:03 UTC There is a 3 out of 4 chance of a damaging earthquake in the Bay Area in the next 30 years. 5.2 km from Experts say a 7.8 earthquake in Southern California could have a death toll among the worst for a natural . (1.2 miles), 2023-02-09 10:32:31 UTC Seismologist Lucy Jones says the outcome will be worse if it happens on faults in metropolitan areas, such as Hollywood. Internationally recognized for excellence in geophysical research and academics while also having outstanding facilities in seismic networks, high performance computing, and mineral physics, makes the Seismo Lab an ideal place for study and research. The mega-quakes in Turkey this week showcase how a magnitude 7.8 quake could trigger a magnitude 7.5 aftershock on a different fault, with 60 miles of distance between the epicenters. According to The ShakeOut Scenario, a 7.8 earthquake hitting along the southern San Andreas fault on a non-windy day at about 9:00 a.m. will unfold, approximately, like this: 1,800 people will. He also said the sequence of earthquakes in Turkey showed that it was difficult to forecast how one quake might affect another. (2.2 miles), 2023-02-22 19:07:02 UTC (4.2 miles), 2023-02-13 11:18:10 UTC Epicenter at 34.191, -117.442 What is seismic hazard? In this article, I have included 11 examples of men and women that have been shown that someday there will be a giant earthquake that will cause a large portion of the west coast to go . (2.2 miles), 2023-02-24 03:01:39 UTC To accomplish this goal, products and services provided by the National Geospatial Program (NGP) and Land Remote Sensing (LRS) Program serve as a geos, The Great Southern California ShakeOut was a week of special events featuring the largest earthquake drill in United States history. Things came out of the refrigerator. All large earthquakes are followed over days, months and even years by aftershocks, which often number in the thousands. That raises the issue of whether a California quake of similar strength might someday occur not on the San Andreas but on a secondary fault. The last earthquake in California occurred 6 minutes ago: Minor mag. Fontana If a big quake hits during the pandemic, will we be prepared? JPL experts predict a possible 5.0 magnitude quake in Los Angeles, but say it very well could be stronger. Some cities including Los Angeles and San Francisco have been pushing retrofits for these types of structures. (4.2 miles), 2023-02-20 10:26:11 UTC The existence of the San Andreas fault was brought intensely to world attention in 1906 when abrupt displacement along the fault produced the great earthquake and fire in San Francisco. Epicenter at 33.823, -117.484 Is La Earthquake Prediction True or Fake? The USGS Seismic Hazard Maps website and the Unified Hazard Tool (for building custom maps) are designed to display the probability of different events that might occur in a several-year to several-decade period. The last big shock hit the fault in 1857. Multiple aftershocks followed, and on Friday, July 5th, another earthquake struck with a magnitude of 7.1. Earthquakes can cause extensive damage to the foundation, siding and roof of homes. Epicenter at 34.458, -117.955 NOTE: In the event of an earthquake, the safest place to be is not in a doorway, but under a table or desk. The Bay Area native is a graduate of UC Berkeley and started at the Los Angeles Times in 2004. Therefore, an individual site study is necessary. EarthquakePrediction @Quakeprediction Earthquake prediction California, Alaska, Japan, Greece and Italy. San Andreas Fault on Pallet Creek Road in Juniper Hills. Epicenter at 34.264, -118.477 (5.2 miles), 2023-02-23 00:13:05 UTC Retrospectively we can say, OK, the 7.8 stressed the fault on which the 7.5 occurred, he said. How do I get earthquake hazard maps for locations outside of the U.S.? Types of Alerts: Presidential: Alerts issued by the President or a designee during a national emergency. There is a 60% chance of an Earthquake with a magnitude of 6.7; There is a 46% chance of an earthquake measuring 7 in magnitude; And there is 31% of an Earthquake with 7.5 magnitudes occurring in the Los Angeles region within the next 30 years. The stuck section slips, and the edge of each block catches up to the rest of the plate. Practice Drop, Cover, and Hold On. The California ShakeOut is just a drill. at 21:08 February 13, 2023 UTC, Location: California has an average of five earthquakes per year with magnitudes between 5 and 6, according to LATimes. Located 30 miles from downtown Los Angeles, the Southern San Andreas fault could produce a magnitude 7 earthquake or greater that would heavily shake the nations second largest city. Damage in San Francisco after the 1906 earthquake. at 00:23 February 05, 2023 UTC, Location: Los Angeles newsroom shakes live on air as earthquake hits California, Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in, Please refresh your browser to be logged in, China mourns heroic Strong-Willed Pig that survived earthquake after it dies of old age, Earth Quake In Turkey: Teams bring in listening equipment, Watch US Navy trial causing earthquake after blasting 18 tonnes of explosives in Atlantic, Assam earthquake: Damage reported as magnitude 6.4 tremor hits northeast India. at 06:05 February 11, 2023 UTC, Location: 26.2 km from 11 earthquakes in the past 7 days. On April 18, 1906, an earthquake and subsequent fires devastated San Francisco, California, leaving more than 3,000 people dead and destroying more than 28,000 buildings. What is a seismic zone, or seismic hazard zone? 12.2 km from Rong-Gong Lin II is a Metro reporter based in San Francisco who specializes in covering statewide earthquake safety issues and the COVID-19 pandemic. Prepare now for your familys safety and recovery from a devastating earthquake. The destruction from the magnitude 7.8 earthquake that struck Turkey on Monday is so widespread and intense it is hard to fathom. Fontana But recent quakes striking California, including clusters of low-level tremors in Southern California in June and a swarm in April, dont seem likely to increase the chances of this disaster, which experts believe could cause 1,800 deaths and a $200bn bill when it finally strikes. Epicenter at 34.251, -118.652 Los Angeles has had: (M1.5 or greater) 1 earthquake in the past 24 hours. Consider the following facts when, not if, a large Los Angeles earthquake hits: CEAs affordable earthquake insurance policies let you select the coverage that fits your budget. The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes were California's biggest in more than 20 years. Jones went on to define "postdiction" as "claiming a successful prediction after the quake occurs.". (7.2 miles), 2023-02-19 16:25:34 UTC (8.2 miles), 2023-02-06 07:00:42 UTC Moreno Valley The 5.4-magnitude quake was centered about 30 miles south of Eureka. What is the likelihood of a large earthquake at location X? Learn about the smaller earthquakes impacting Northern California. at 00:13 February 23, 2023 UTC, Location: A rift that resulted from a landslide in an olive grove in Tepehan village, Turkey, in the Feb. 6 earthquake. Mega-quakes that could rupture the southern San Andreas fault from near the Mexican border through Los Angeles County and beyond could trigger major aftershocks and shake cities as far away as Sacramento and San Francisco, according to documents and interviews. Watch this educational video for the best way to make your home safe. Sign up for our trending newsletter to get the latest news of the day. California's Big Earthquakes California Department of Conservation administers a variety of programs vital to California's public safety, environment and economy. at 23:35 February 12, 2023 UTC, Location: Earthquake prediction has been a hope since the ground shifted beneath ancient peoples. SGT Report is the corporate propaganda antidote. How are they made? But we could easily go another 50 or more. 13.2 km from Santa Susana Predicting when earthquakes are going to happen remains difficult, San Jose State University geologist Kimberly Blisniuk told the Los Angeles Times in March. The last two big earthquakes to strike Los Angeles the 1971 Sylmar quake and 1994 Northridge quake caused destruction and loss of life. Keep your family safe and prevent the injury of your loved ones by being prepared. Many people in LA Countyfeel shaking from earthquakes a couple times a year, most mild or moderate with little damage. A quake as strong as magnitude 8.2 is possible on the southern San Andreas fault and would bring disaster to all of Southern California simultaneously, with the fault rupturing from near the Mexican border to Monterey County. While both past California earthquakes have been studied extensively, modern technology is allowing the Turkish quakes to be analyzed in elaborate detail, practically in real time, using ground-based seismic sensors, satellite-borne radar and other instruments. Located 11 miles SSW of Trona on 2/28/23, 5:30 AM. Owners of concrete buildings were given much longer to get them retrofitted 25 years, compared with the seven years that owners of soft-story buildings had to upgrade. Such an earthquake would cause widespread damage from Palm Springs to San Luis Obispo and everything in between, experts say. The last California seismic event that reached magnitude 7.8 was the great San Francisco earthquake of 1906. 30 percent chance of a 7.5-magnitude earthquake, have found shelter on a 538-foot luxury boat. Other owners began getting orders in 2017. According to theU.S. Geological Survey and the Los Angeles Fire Department, the earthquake occurred at 2 a.m. PT. Compared to the previous assessment issued in 2008, UCERF2, the estimated rate of earthquakes around magnitude 6.7, the size of the destructive 1994 Northridge earthquake, has gone down by about 30 percent. (5.2 miles), 2023-02-18 03:09:03 UTC Today The southern section of the San Andreas where the last major earthquake was the one in 1857 has several relatively long secondary faults, including the Garlock, which runs at an angle to the San Andreas across the Mojave Desert, and the San Jacinto, which is parallel to the San Andreas at the Salton Sea. Significant damage could extend to San Diego and Imperial counties. But the worst damage was concentrated in relatively small areas and did not halt daily life across all of Southern California. Many factors influence the strength of earthquake shaking at a site including the earthquake's magnitude, the site's proximity to the fault, the local geology, and the soil type.
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